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Economic (Opinion): falling of ecomnomic indicators

Written By tiwUPSC on Thursday, December 15, 2011
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Rupee's tumble

  • A fall of 22 per cent in four months — from Rs. 43.95 in end-July to Rs.53.72 on December 14 — is something that should set alarm bells ringing. In the last month alone, the rupee depreciated by 8 per cent relative to the dollar. A combination of domestic and global factors appears to be behind this slide.
  • The forex market has its own explanation for the fall.
  • Importers, having been lulled into complacency by the rupee's appreciation earlier, are rushing to cover their exposures, thus driving up dollar demand.
  • Exporters are said to be holding on to their earnings in the hope of a further fall in the rupee.
  • The central bank also has to keep in mind the widening current account deficit, while formulating the strategy for market intervention.
  • While exporting industries such as information technology, gems and jewellery, and textiles will be happy, consumers are likely to feel the pinch.
  • A rise in petrol prices could well be on the cards as a New Year gift to consumers.

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