Rupee's tumble
- A fall of 22 per cent in four months — from Rs. 43.95 in end-July to Rs.53.72 on December 14 — is something that should set alarm bells ringing. In the last month alone, the rupee depreciated by 8 per cent relative to the dollar. A combination of domestic and global factors appears to be behind this slide.
- The forex market has its own explanation for the fall.
- Importers, having been lulled into complacency by the rupee's appreciation earlier, are rushing to cover their exposures, thus driving up dollar demand.
- Exporters are said to be holding on to their earnings in the hope of a further fall in the rupee.
- While exporting industries such as information technology, gems and jewellery, and textiles will be happy, consumers are likely to feel the pinch.
- A rise in petrol prices could well be on the cards as a New Year gift to consumers.