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EURO-RUSSIA (Dialogue):

Written By tiwUPSC on Monday, December 12, 2011
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The most critical week for the eurozone

  • The eurozone summit in Brussels last week was considered to be an epoch-making event, having a bearing on the future of the euro and the monetary union.
  • the euro is structurally flawed and unless its basic defects are rectified, the crisis in Europe will not abate.
  • Germany has been in favour of fully automatic sanctions (in case any country breached the new fiscal rules) with national budgets submitted are balanced for review by a supranational technocrat as a means of restoring confidence in the currency bloc.
  • France has favoured a more flexible, politically governed approach. It wants to retain the inter-governmental approach, never mind that such an approach has been found wanting.
  • Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB)
  • ECB has resisted the pressure to provide unlimited support to the system either by backing the bailout fund or through a long-term guarantee of bond prices.
  • Politicians have failed to deliver on their promises of reform and it is this growing cynicism over politicians, which is the single biggest factor, underpinning the crisis.
  • The break-up of the single currency once considered unthinkable is freely talked about.
  • Banks in Europe have become extremely vulnerable. Most of them are undercapitalised and face a severe shortfall in funding.
  • The new ‘fiscal compact' aims for stronger coordination of economic policies in the areas of common interest.
  • Eurozone states' budgets should be balanced or in surplus; the annual structural deficit should not normally exceed 0.5 per cent of the GDP. These rules will be built into their national legal systems.
  • If any eurozone member is in breach of the 3 per cent debt ceiling, there will be automatic consequences, including possible sanctions.

 

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